Anthropic just published a paper saying AI hasn’t impacted jobs yet. But when you read it a few times it actually tells a different headline.
- Hiring of 22-25 year olds into AI-exposed jobs dropped 14%
- Computer programmers are 75% exposed. Customer service reps close behind.
- For every 10% increase in AI exposure, projected job growth drops 0.6%
- Their own methodology can’t detect slow displacement. Only sudden spikes.
- Young workers who lose out aren’t showing up as “unemployed” - they’re just disappearing from the workforce entirely.
- The paper literally says the gap between what AI can do and what it’s doing today will close.
So why not just be transparent about what’s actually coming? I’m not saying it’s mass replacement, but it’s also not “grow less through 2034.” It’s something in between.
What I see building xpander.ai: jobs aren’t disappearing. They’re splitting. Every role is becoming a human+AI role. The org chart of 2026 has AI employees on it. The companies that figure out how to onboard, govern, and manage them alongside humans will win.
What do you think?